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P.J. Washington

P.J. Washington Points
Player Prop - 11/24/2025

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
P.J. Washington Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on threes (highest in the NBA) against the Heat, branding this as a good matchup.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league this year.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks.
  • With respect to drawing fouls, the Dallas Mavericks's superb 28.7 free throw attempts per game ranks 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 8thworst in in the league when playing on the road with only 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league).

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