P.J. Tucker Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

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P.J. Tucker

NBA · Player Props

P.J. Tucker

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 8:46 PM EST

Analysis

P.J. Tucker Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

P.J. Tucker has put up 2.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.9 more than he's put up overall this season on the road.
The Mavericks have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

P.J. Tucker has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game away from home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
P.J. Tucker will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsens player production in all stat categories.

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