P.J. Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 10/26/2023

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P.J. Tucker

NBA · Player Props

P.J. Tucker

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Oct 26, 2023

Updated Oct 26, 2023 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

P.J. Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 76ers have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Bucks).
The Bucks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Compared to his full-year mark of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1)%, P.J. Tucker's foul-shot prowess has jumped by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1)% over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 2.9 rate, P.J. Tucker's shots from the field scored have been reduced this season to 1.3 per game.
P.J. Tucker has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The matchup against Milwaukee is a tough one for scoring; when the Bucks are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have shot for the 15th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (42.1%).
The slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the 76ers grade out 4thworst in in the league as the road team with a mere 8.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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