P.J. Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 5/5/2023

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NBA · Player Props

P.J. Tucker

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · May 5, 2023

Updated May 5, 2023 8:01 PM EST

Analysis

P.J. Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

P.J. Tucker has sunk 46.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games at home, 9.2% more than he's made overall this season while on his home court.
P.J. Tucker has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 6.2 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year at home.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Celtics have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
P.J. Tucker will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually increases stat production across the board.

Favors Under

P.J. Tucker has averaged a mere 3.5 points per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 7.7 points per game last season.
The matchup against Boston is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Celtics are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have posted the 11th-lowest three rate in the league this year (28.4%).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).