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P.J. Tucker

P.J. Tucker Points
Player Prop - 4/6/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
P.J. Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+112/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • P.J. Tucker has successfully made 60.2% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 16.4% higher than he's made in all games this season on his home court.
  • P.J. Tucker has successfully made 51.5% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 11.5% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season at home.
  • P.J. Tucker has played 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 6.0 more than he's played over the course of the year at home.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • P.J. Tucker has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
  • The matchup vs. Miami is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are away from home, opposing starting PFs have posted the 15th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (26.2%).
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the 76ers.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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