P.J. Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2023

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NBA · Player Props

P.J. Tucker

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Apr 6, 2023

Updated Apr 6, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

P.J. Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+112/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

P.J. Tucker has successfully made 60.2% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 16.4% higher than he's made in all games this season on his home court.
P.J. Tucker has successfully made 51.5% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 11.5% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season at home.
P.J. Tucker has played 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 6.0 more than he's played over the course of the year at home.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

P.J. Tucker has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The matchup vs. Miami is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are away from home, opposing starting PFs have posted the 15th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (26.2%).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).