P.J. Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

NBA · Player Props

P.J. Tucker

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

P.J. Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

P.J. Tucker has made 59.4% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 16.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while at home.
P.J. Tucker has successfully made 52.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 14.7% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season while on his home court.
P.J. Tucker has averaged 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 6.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Raptors have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Toronto is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; when the Raptors are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 13th-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (10.2).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court.
The Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
P.J. Tucker has attempted 0.5 free throws per game while at home this year, placing him in the 15th percentile among all players in the NBA.