P.J. Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

P.J. Tucker

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

P.J. Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-109/-119).

Key Factors

Favors Over

P.J. Tucker has successfully made 61.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 18.3% higher than he's made in all games this year at home.
P.J. Tucker has made 59.5% of his treys over the last 10 games at home, 20.7% more than he's made overall this year at home.
P.J. Tucker has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.8 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season at home.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a strong one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (17.7).

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games at home.
The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Mavericks have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
P.J. Tucker has attempted 0.5 foul shots per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 15th percentile out of all players in the league.