P.J. Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

P.J. Tucker

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 1:36 AM EST

Analysis

P.J. Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

P.J. Tucker has converted 50.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games on the road, 9.7% more than he's made in all games this year away from home.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the 76ers.
The Bucks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
P.J. Tucker has successfully made 87.5% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.6% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Favors Under

P.J. Tucker has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The matchup against Milwaukee is a tough one; when the Bucks are at home, they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs over the last 20 games (11.2).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Bucks may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.7 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (14th-least in the league).