P.J. Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

P.J. Tucker

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

P.J. Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+109/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

P.J. Tucker has made 50.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games on the road, 9.7% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season while playing on the road.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Mavericks have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
P.J. Tucker has sunk 87.5% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 14.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.
The matchup vs. Dallas may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 3.5 free throws per game over the last 19 games when the Mavericks are at home (24th-most in the league).

Favors Under

P.J. Tucker has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game away from home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a difficult one for field goals; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 15th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (41.1%).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).