P.J. Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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P.J. Tucker

NBA · Player Props

P.J. Tucker

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

P.J. Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+122/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

P.J. Tucker has sunk 50.2% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games on the road, 9.7% more than he's made over the course of the year on the road.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
P.J. Tucker has successfully made 87.5% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 14.6% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Favors Under

P.J. Tucker has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The matchup against the Heat is a tough one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting Cs this year (10.0).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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