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Peyton Watson Points
Player Prop - 12/29/2025

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-137/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Nuggets rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Miami is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are at home, opposing starting PFs have compiled the highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (46.4%).

The Nuggets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 5th-most sluggish pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Nuggets.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 1stworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Heat, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

More Peyton Watson Player Props

Peyton Watson PointsPlayer Prop - 12/29/2025

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Peyton Watson Points
Player Prop - 12/29/2025