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Peyton Watson Points
Player Prop - 12/1/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Peyton Watson has compiled 15.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's compiled in all games this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 7 games with the home court advantage.

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should increase possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.

Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting SFs have put up 11.4 points per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, labeling this as a tough matchup for offensive output.

The matchup vs. Dallas is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 free throws per game this year when the Mavericks are away from home (2nd-least in the NBA).

More Peyton Watson Player Props

Peyton Watson PointsPlayer Prop - 12/1/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Peyton Watson Points
Player Prop - 12/1/2025