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Peyton Watson

Peyton Watson Points
Player Prop - 4/1/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Peyton Watson has successfully made 53.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 8.6% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
  • Peyton Watson has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.
  • The 5th-fastest pace team in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 8th-best in in the league with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
  • Peyton Watson is expected to see a rise in performance for all stats as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
  • This year, opposing starting SFs have shot 40.6% on shot attempts from the field (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, marking this as a challenging matchup.
  • The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Denver Nuggets.
  • Peyton Watson has sunk 68.9% of his free throws this year, ranking in the 25th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (10th-fewest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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