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Peyton Watson

Peyton Watson Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Peyton Watson has converted 54.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 10.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season on the road.

Peyton Watson has averaged a whopping 23.6 minutes per game this season, a big improvement over his 17.5 minutes per game last season.

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 5.6 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Lakers, identifying this as a good matchup.

The 5th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to reduce plays for the Nuggets.

Peyton Watson has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 20.5% more than he's converted in all games this year away from his home court.

The matchup against the Lakers may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).

Peyton Watson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player performance for all stats.

More Peyton Watson Player Props

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