My Account Log Out

reorder

Peyton Watson

Peyton Watson Points
Player Prop - 12/25/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Peyton Watson has sunk 63.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 37.5% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season.

The Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Warriors (turning over possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).

In comparison to last season's 45.7% clip, Peyton Watson's foul-shot effectiveness has risen this season to 57.3%.

Peyton Watson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally raises player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Peyton Watson has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.0 more than he's tallied overall this season at home.

Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have averaged 121.0 points per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, branding this as a strong matchup for offensive output.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.

As a team, the Nuggets have been bad at drawing fouls: 4th-worst in the league this year, averaging a lowly 20.3 free throw attempts per game.

Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the other team has attempted 30.2 foul shots per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, finding it easy to draw fouls.

More Peyton Watson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™