Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2026

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat · Mar 29, 2026

Updated Mar 29, 2026 9:05 PM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-112/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Heat have played at the speediest pace in the NBA this year.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Indiana Pacers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat rank 5th-best in in the league as the road team with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. Indiana is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.0 free throws per game this year when the Indiana Pacers are at home (4th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.9).

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