Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2026

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Mar 17, 2026

Updated Mar 17, 2026 10:38 PM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-124/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pelle Larsson has notched 14.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.0 more than he's notched over the course of the season.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 8.7 shots made from the field per game (highest in the league) vs. the Hornets, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The Heat have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 4.5 foul shots per game (highest in the league) vs. the Hornets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games while on the road.
The Miami Heat will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from being pitted against the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Charlotte Hornets).

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