Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2026

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards · Mar 10, 2026

Updated Mar 10, 2026 11:30 PM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the other team's starting SFs have posted 15.7 points per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Wizards, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Wizards have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should raise possessions for the Heat.
The Heat check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 4.2 free throws per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

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