Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2026

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Mar 6, 2026

Updated Mar 6, 2026 11:39 PM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Charlotte is a favorable one for scoring; when the Hornets are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the most baskets per game in the NBA this year (8.7).
The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat rank 2nd-best in in the NBA with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 4.5 foul shots per game (most in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Heat.

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