Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2026

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 5, 2026

Updated Mar 6, 2026 4:53 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have posted 19.5 points per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Nets, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive production.
The quickest pace offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Heat rank 2nd-best in in the NBA with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Nets, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Miami Heat.

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