Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2026

My Account Log Out

reorder

Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 3, 2026

Updated Mar 4, 2026 2:48 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-127/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pelle Larsson has scored 18.0 points per game over the last 5 games while at home, 6.3 higher than he's scored over the course of the year at home.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled 19.5 points per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Nets, branding this as a good matchup for offensive productivity.
The most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Nets is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.9 foul shots per game this year (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's unimpressive 33.4% rate of successful threes with the home court advantage comes in as the 5th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Heat are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most sluggish pace visiting team in the league over the last 15 games (the Brooklyn Nets).

More Pelle Larsson Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow