Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2026

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Feb 26, 2026

Updated Feb 26, 2026 11:38 PM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Heat have played at the quickest pace in the league this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Heat grade out best in in the NBA with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The Heat have been the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The matchup against the 76ers is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (11.3).
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.5 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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