Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2026

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Feb 3, 2026

Updated Feb 4, 2026 12:35 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pelle Larsson has tallied 15.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
The quickest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league this year, which should raise opportunities for the Heat.
The Heat check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have put up 15.1 points per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, marking this as a challenging matchup for offensive production.

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