Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2026

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 1, 2026

Updated Feb 1, 2026 10:48 PM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 2nd-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the Heat's lackluster 44.9% field goal percentage comes in as the 2nd-weakest in the league over the last 25 games.
The matchup against the Bulls is a difficult one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (10.6).
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.7 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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