Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2026

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Jan 29, 2026

Updated Jan 30, 2026 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/+111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The fastest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest pace home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Bulls).
The Heat check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 5.1 foul shots per game (highest in the NBA) against the Bulls, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

When it comes to shooting, the Miami Heat's feeble 42.5% field goal rate away from their home court comes in as the fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 23.9% on 3-pointers (weakest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, creating a difficult matchup.

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