Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2026

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Jan 28, 2026

Updated Jan 29, 2026 4:58 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have scored 18.9 points per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Magic, labeling this as a strong matchup for offensive performance.
The speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Orlando is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.7 free throws per game this year when the Orlando Magic are the visiting squad (3rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

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