Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2026

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 4, 2026

Updated Jan 5, 2026 2:14 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Heat have played at the quickest pace in the league this year.
The Heat will likely see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).
The Miami Heat have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 7th-least aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat.

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