Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2025

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat · Dec 5, 2025

Updated Dec 6, 2025 4:39 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-112/-101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to shooting, the Heat's exceptional 124.7 points per game away from their home court measures as the most in the NBA this year.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 1.9 threes per game (8th-most in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, creating a good matchup.
The speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat will likely see a spike in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic).
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 5.5 free throws per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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