Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2025

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 26, 2025

Updated Nov 27, 2025 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to shooting, the Miami Heat's fantastic 123.9 points per game settles in as the most in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (7.0).
The most up-tempo pace offense in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 7 games on the road, which ought to raise opportunities for the Miami Heat.
The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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