Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/23/2025

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Nov 23, 2025

Updated Nov 23, 2025 5:36 PM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-127/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Heat have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Heat.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers is a difficult one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (11.3).
The Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 6thworst in in the league with a mere 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against the 76ers is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.5 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).

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