Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2025

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · Nov 17, 2025

Updated Nov 18, 2025 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-117/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Heat have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against New York is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Knicks are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have posted the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (48.0%).
The Heat have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. New York may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the New York Knicks are the visiting team (7th-least in the NBA).

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