Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2025

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · Nov 14, 2025

Updated Nov 14, 2025 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-101/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Heat check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Heat have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.
The New York Knicks have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should raise opportunities for the Miami Heat.

Favors Under

The matchup against New York is a challenging one for scoring; when the New York Knicks have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the lowest field goal rate in the league this year (33.3%).
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Knicks may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (9th-least in the league).

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