Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2025

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 10, 2025

Updated Nov 10, 2025 10:16 PM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Heat check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Miami Heat have played at the fastest tempo in the league this year.
The Heat are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Cavaliers).
The matchup vs. Cleveland may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 4.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games when the Cleveland Cavaliers are on the road (2nd-most in the league).

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 3.9 three attempts per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Cavaliers, resulting in a hard matchup.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.

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