Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2025

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 8, 2025

Updated Nov 9, 2025 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's remarkable 39.2% rate of made threes ranks 5th-strongest in the league this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the fastest pace in the league this year.
The Heat are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 2nd-fastest pace road team in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers).

Favors Under

The matchup against Portland is a difficult one; when the Portland Trail Blazers are on the road, they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs this year (12.1).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 8.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against Portland is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 1.9 free throws per game this year when the Trail Blazers are on the road (4th-least in the NBA).

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