Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/7/2025

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets · Nov 7, 2025

Updated Nov 8, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's impressive 38.8% rate of made threes comes in as the 8th-strongest in the league this year.
The matchup against Charlotte is a favorable one; when the Charlotte Hornets are on the road, they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 5 games (22.3).
The Heat have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Heat are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 5th-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the league this year (the Hornets).
This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 4.5 free throws per game (highest in the league) vs. the Hornets, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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