Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 10/30/2025

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat · Oct 30, 2025

Updated Oct 31, 2025 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA since the start of last season.
This year, opposing starting SGs have shot 37.5% on threes (8th-highest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.2 foul shots per game this year (8th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with just 9.8 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

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