Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-137/-137).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Pelle Larsson has made 54.7% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 11.2% higher than he's put through the net overall this season while on the road.
Pelle Larsson has sunk 60.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 19.8% more than he's made in all games this season when playing away from home.
The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games on the road in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 7th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 6 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).
Favors Under
Pelle Larsson has averaged 12.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-utilized plays in the league: 23rd percentile.
This year, opposing starting SFs have put up 11.3 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the 76ers, identifying this as a hard matchup for offensive performance.
The slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.5 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) vs. the 76ers, struggling to get to the free-throw line.