Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2025

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat · Mar 5, 2025

Updated Mar 5, 2025 11:49 PM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-137/-137).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pelle Larsson has sunk 61.1% of his treys over the last 5 games, 25.1% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season.
In regard to 3-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 13.9 made threes per game ranks 10th-most in the NBA this year.
The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the league this year (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
Pelle Larsson has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 30.8% more than he's sunk overall this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Pelle Larsson measures in the 25th percentile for playing time, tallying a measly 12.7 minutes per game this year.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Heat check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Pelle Larsson ought to suffer a drop-off in production for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

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