Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-113/-121).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pelle Larsson has sunk 58.3% of his field goals this year, ranking in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.
Pelle Larsson has made 54.2% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 12.8% higher than he's converted overall this season.
The Heat have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nets).
Pelle Larsson will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Pelle Larsson registers in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.3 fouls per game this year.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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