Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2024

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · Dec 2, 2024

Updated Dec 3, 2024 12:23 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pelle Larsson has failed to convert 2.0 field goals per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league in this category: 22nd percentile for misses .
The Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.

Favors Under

Pelle Larsson has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's averaged overall this season.
The Heat have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should reduce plays for the Heat.
The Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the league, Pelle Larsson places in the 14th percentile for foul-shot proficiency when playing away from home with a feeble 54.2% rate this year.

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