Pelle Larsson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-137).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pelle Larsson has made 50.3% of his shot attempts from the field on the road this year, placing him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league.
In terms of offense, the Miami Heat's superb 112.7 points per game away from their home court comes in as the 10th-best in the NBA over the last 9 games.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which should lead to more plays for the Miami Heat.

Favors Under

Pelle Larsson has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's committed overall this season.
The 4th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
The Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the league, Pelle Larsson lands in the 15th percentile for free-throw proficiency without the home court advantage with a lackluster 55.6% rate this year.
Pelle Larsson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually worsens player production across the board.

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