Pelle Larsson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2026

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards · Apr 4, 2026

Updated Apr 4, 2026 6:38 PM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+195/-263).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Over the last 18 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 5.5 three attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Wizards, identifying this as a strong matchup.
The Miami Heat have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which should lead to more plays for the Heat.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat rank 4th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

When it comes to threes, the Heat's feeble 34.3% rate of drained threes when playing at home settles in as the 4th-weakest in the NBA over the last 10 games.

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