Pelle Larsson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2025

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers · Apr 7, 2025

Updated Apr 8, 2025 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+155/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pelle Larsson has successfully made 48.2% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 12.0% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season.
Pelle Larsson has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 16.4 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Pelle Larsson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to boost player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Pelle Larsson has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated overall this year.
As it relates to three-point attempts, the 4th-least aggressive team in the NBA while at home over the last 5 games has been the Heat.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 2.8 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The slowest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The 76ers have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.

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