Pelle Larsson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2025

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 5, 2025

Updated Apr 6, 2025 3:09 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +165 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pelle Larsson has successfully made 53.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 16.6% more than he's converted over the course of the year.
The Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 5.6 3-point attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, resulting in a positive matchup.
Pelle Larsson will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally improves player performance across the board.

Favors Under

The least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league while at home with a mere 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.

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