Pelle Larsson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2025

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 3, 2025

Updated Apr 4, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-230).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -230.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pelle Larsson has made 63.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 25.6% higher than he's converted from three in all games this year.
When it comes to three-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 48.8% rate of drained threes rates strongest in the league over the last 5 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 2.3 threes per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, creating a good matchup.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).
Pelle Larsson will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to improve stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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