Pelle Larsson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2025

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · Apr 2, 2025

Updated Apr 3, 2025 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+149/-196).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +167 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +149.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pelle Larsson has successfully made 55.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 14.3% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year on the road.
The Miami Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).

Favors Under

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from competing against the slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Boston Celtics).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with only 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Pelle Larsson is expected to see a decline in output across the board as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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