Pelle Larsson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2025

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Mar 29, 2025

Updated Mar 30, 2025 1:59 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-190/+155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pelle Larsson has sunk 60.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 19.8% more than he's made in all games this season when playing away from home.
The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games on the road in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 7th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 6 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).

Favors Under

Pelle Larsson has averaged 12.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-utilized plays in the league: 23rd percentile.
The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers is a difficult one for three-pointers; opposing starting SFs have compiled the 5th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (28.9%).
The slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Pelle Larsson will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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