Pelle Larsson Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2025

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 5, 2025

Updated Apr 6, 2025 3:09 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pelle Larsson has tallied 3.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
Pelle Larsson will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally improves player performance across the board.

Favors Under

The least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league while at home with a mere 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.

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