Pelle Larsson Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2025

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat · Mar 31, 2025

Updated Apr 1, 2025 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Wizards).

Favors Under

Pelle Larsson has played 12.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court far less than most players in the league: 24th percentile.
The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Pelle Larsson should experience a decrease in efficiency in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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