Pelle Larsson Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2025

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Pelle Larsson

NBA · Player Props

Pelle Larsson

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Mar 29, 2025

Updated Mar 30, 2025 1:29 AM EST

Analysis

Pelle Larsson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 7th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 6 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).

Favors Under

Pelle Larsson has totaled 0.7 assists per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 24th percentile -- near the bottom of the league by this standard.
Pelle Larsson has averaged 12.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-utilized plays in the league: 23rd percentile.
The slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Pelle Larsson will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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